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Caribbean Tropical Weather Update & Forecast

Current Developments

Forecasters are closely monitoring a tropical weather wave emerging from Africa—tagged Invest 97L—that could develop into a tropical depression or storm later this week. The system is being tracked by the National Hurricane Center and may pose a future threat to the Caribbean, Bahamas, and the Dominican Republic, you can visit Yahoo News UK.

Over the longer term, long-range models suggest potential storm formation in the Caribbean Sea by late next week. There’s significant uncertainty, but the European model projects a system heading toward the Lesser Antilles, Cuba, and possibly into the eastern Gulf of Mexico around August 21 in Houston Chronicle.

Another area drawing attention is Invest 96L—a tropical wave in the central Atlantic—showing a 60% chance of development over the weekend or early next week. It may evolve into Tropical Storm Erin but is currently expected to head northwest, potentially moving away from the U.S., although some models hint it could approach Bermuda.

What This Means for the Caribbean

  • Watch closely: While no storms have formed yet, systems like Invest 97L and 96L could affect the region. Early awareness is crucial.
  • Stay informed: Forecasts are still tentative—updated models will sharpen the trajectory and intensity outlook by mid-week.
  • Preparation tip: Authorities and communities should use this lead time to review emergency plans, especially as late-season systems tend to develop rapidly.

Summary Table: Tropical Watch at a Glance

SystemLocation / PathDevelopment ChanceTimeframe
Invest 97LEmerging from Africa toward CaribbeanHigh potentialLater this week
Caribbean WaveNear Lesser Antilles, CubaSpeculativeLate next week (~Aug 21)
Invest 96LCentral Atlantic60%Weekend / early next week

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